I told some friends that if I touch receive an Oscar insurance in my speech I would be in a mess, and the same would happen if he received a Nobel a Pulitzer, or in worst cases, the strange title of meritorious Son of El Salvador ... Tomorrow delivered Oscar and there will certainly be some surprises, but if I mistake not be categorized as supporting roles and screenwriting categories. formula awards always gives the same result, and if we rely strictly on this formula for the thing does not much surprise.
awards, all are a sympathy vote. Nobody will deny that in '94 Pulp Fiction was a proposal much more powerful film Forrest Gump but in the end, the mentally retarded won us the pulse of all and say all because Mine was nice and did not bother me that the film won. Thus, we will not wait for tomorrow, suddenly, all members of the Academy ( writers, cameramen , Actors, directors, producers, extras, staff, etc ...) have been made lenses André Bazin and without sympathy vote but tastefully film.
I said before that The King 's Speech get away with statuette for Best Picture , not for its cinematic merits, but for your message. The Social Network , though I be uncomfortable is the only one who could steal the prize , I do not think the Academy is a monster apart (as Quinta Vergara ) and probably the King win this. The award for direction should be to David Fincher , his work in film of facebook is so good that even if you look buts excels. Darren Aronofsky is my favorite, but his work is too film for Academy . And happened to Orson Welles in 1941, although he was on a par with John Ford. style Darren not like it for good. Ironic is not it?
Natalie Portman will thank you all for the prize, in spite of Annette Bening (her performance is The kids Are all rigth is superb) or the amazing Jennifer Lawrence ( Winter 's Bone ) and Colin Firth (The Kin's Speech) will thank you for yours, because the only thing that could tie or win is Jeff Bridges ( True Grit ) and gave him and his. Javier Bardem not apply, however remarkable it is his performance in Biutiful.
So far, so clear.
The thing becomes a bit confusing in the awards for supporting roles. In my opinion the two actresses compete that category by The Fighter opens more possibilities to Hailee Steinfeld by True Grit , but Amy Adams has many supporters in the Academy so perhaps you give your speech touch appreciation for his role in that The Fighter.
And I think the real surprise of the night will be in the supporting actor category where many see Christian Bale (The Figther ) giving thanks for his award and the most condescending think Geoffrey Rush receive her second Oscar by The King 's Speech , I see the unknown John Hawkes ( Winter' s Bone ) receiving Oscar in honor of all independent film. Yes, well I see. The work of Geoffrey was easy for him and Christian is not an actor who deserves recognition, yet.
In the category of scripts , The Are kids all right (original) and The Social Network (adaptation) will win. And it's more than obvious that Toy Story 3 will be chosen.
Again I shall refrain from giving my opinion on how best a Foreign Film because I have not seen them all and would not be appropriate to say something that I have not a 60% certainty.
Finally, to end this post unimportant, I must say that Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross should win the Oscar for what they did with The Social Network . Without his music, this film would not have had the same texture. To them and Natalie I applaud standing, the only one that I'll be drooling by the Israeli girl.
Let's see if I am as certain as last year.
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